June 3, 2023

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Elections Colombia 2022 | New CNC survey: Rodolfo Hernandez 41%, Guttao Pedro 39% | Who will win in Colombia according to the first poll? | Second round | RCN survey: Rodolfo, 52.5%; Petro, 44.8% | The world

The first voting purpose poll released after the first round of elections Revealed to be an independent candidate Will win against the left For a little benefit in the vote on June 19th.

To the question of who to vote for in the second round, 41% voted in favor of engineer Hernandez, while 39% promised to choose economist Pedro. In a study National Consulting Center (CNC). According to the same survey, 14% of those surveyed still do not know who they will vote for -Candidates with the highest percentage should focus on adding votes-, 5% will vote empty, and 1% expressed no confidence in either candidate.

Mira: Colombia prepares for second round between Pedro and Hernandez: Which candidate is best outlined?

In the case of the Law FM survey, the advantage Hernandez Old: Get 52% (with 2.9% sample error) compared to 44% of Gustavo Petro.

After the presidential election, on May 29, 2022, in Galle, Colombia, supporters of presidential candidate Rodolfo Hernandez celebrated. (RAUL ARBOLEDA / AFP).

The CNC survey conducted a telephone consultation with 1,200 people in 43 municipalities across the country from May 30 to 31. It has a margin of 2.8% error with 95% confidence, so two points of difference are within the technical tie range. The consulting firm conducted a first survey before the May 29 election, in which it asked respondents about the possibility of a second round among current candidates. This survey developed a technical relationship between Hernandez and Pedro 40.5% intend to vote.

Regions wise

The “Tic Tac Toe” Favorite in the fields that make up Coffee Region (center) and Antioch (northwest)– In the first round Federico “Figo” Guttierez won with the highest percentage – 54%. Pedro will get 26% there. About 14% of those surveyed in the area said they did not join the two candidates.

In Caribbean regionThe former M-19 fighter is collecting 48% of the vote, compared to 33% of Hernandez. Pacific region Pedro’s support will rise to 57%, followed by Hernandez’s by 23%.

Supporters of Colombian presidential candidate Gustavo Pedro and his rival Francia Marquez attend a rally on April 22, 2022 in Medellin, Colombia.  (JOAQUIN SARMIENTO / AFP).
Supporters of Colombian presidential candidate Gustavo Pedro and his rival Francia Marquez attend a rally on April 22, 2022 in Medellin, Colombia. (JOAQUIN SARMIENTO / AFP).

Pedro, former mayor of Bogot The anti-corruption governors’ league, which dominates the country’s capital, has 49% of candidates compared to 39%.

On the other hand, 42% of men and 41% of women lean towards Hernandez, which is one percent Petro Corresponding to 43% and 36%, respectively.

In addition, the CNC revealed it Hernandez dominates the upper and lower classes (52% and 40% versus 40% and 39%, respectively)And there is more support among voters 40 years and older. Meanwhile, there is support for Pedro by those who have been consulted Middle, middle class And mostly by voters 18 to 40 years old.

ANSA Agency and El Tiempo GDA

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