A new poll conducted by the National Counseling Center (CNC) for Semana magazine shows that the Left Gustavo Pedro The second president will win the round Colombia The populist received 41% of the vote, compared to 44.9% Rodolfo Hernandez.
A live survey of 2,172 citizens in 50 municipalities across the country between May 31 and June 2, 2022 reveals 9.4% of those surveyed did not define their vote (Don’t know-no-answer), 3% will vote blank. 1.7% of candidates said they would not vote for anyone.
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The sample margin of error is 2.1%.
Another previous CNC survey showed a technical tie for CM & Newscast, but kept Hernandez Already 41% of the vote count Petro With 39%. The sample was consulted by phone with 1,200 people.
In addition, a survey type monitoring, FM Hernandez With the intention of getting 50.4% of the vote, above Gustavo PedroWith 45.6%.
For its part, the surveyor GAD3 for RCN is located on the scale Rodolfo Hernandez 52.3% are already voting Gustavo Pedro con 45.1%.
Survey fact sheet
Natural or legal person who carried it out: National SAP Advisory Center Natural or legal person, Nominated by: Semana Magazine Funding Source: Semana MagazineUNIVERSE Voting age and municipal age for women and men over the age of 18 in the next presidential election. As a statistical layer mechanism, 6 geographical regions were established as follows: (1) Antioquia + coffee region: Antioquia, Caldas, Quintio and Resaralda; (2) Bogot: Bogot DC; (3) Caribbean: Atlantic, Bolivar, Caesar, Crdoba, La Guazira, Magdalena, Sucre, San Andres and Providence; (4) Middle East: Boyacá, Cundinamarca, Norte de Santander, Santander, Arauca and Casanare; (5) Central South: Huila, Tolima, Meta, Caquetá and Putumayo and (6) Pacific: Cauca, Chocó, Nariño and Valle del Cauca.
Model design: Model design is layered by selecting simple random models of probability and statistical units at each stage.
Sample Size: 2,172 cases in 50 municipalities from all over Colombia, namely: Antioquia + Coffee Region: Medellin, Bello, Rionegro, Jardín, Segovia, Manizales, Pácora, Viterbo, Armenia, La Tebaida; Bogot: Bogot DC; Caribbean: Barranquilla, Manatí, Soledad, Cartagena, Augustin Codazzi, Monteria, Chinú, Barrancas, El Banco, Sincelejo, Sampués; Middle East: Tunja, Chiquinquirá, Tauramena, Madrid, Soacha, La Palma, Tabio, Cúcuta, Ocaña, Bucaramanga, Floridablanca, Lebrija; Centrosore: Florence, Neva, Fidelito, Acacias, Puerto Cayden, Ibague, Melcar, Nadakaima; Pacific: Popayn, Santander de Quilichao, Miranda, Pasto, Cali, Palmira, Guacarí, Bolívar.
Error margin and confidence level: Sample error magnitude 2.1% and 95% confidence.
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