In a thread on Twitter, former US Army Chief of Staff Mark Hertling provided a detailed analysis of the first nine months. War between Russia and Ukraine And it took the opportunity to slip a dire prediction about the future of war.
According to him, a new phase in the armed struggle began at the end of November, a period he called “Phase IV” And, in December, the Russian military will bet For “frozen conflict”, this refers to the removal and/or destruction of vital resources for Ukraine in the middle of winter..
In this way, he insisted The morale of the Ukrainian people will be tested by the Kremlin As you progress you destroy cities and harass those who get in your way. He warned that it would not be enough Make the West vulnerable to new tactics planned by Putin.
Hertling noted The war was not close to being over, he said, adding that “although Russia was badly wounded, it was not completely defeated. And, it’s getting harder.”
“They must not be allowed to reorganize. This is the only way for Ukraine to win the war and regain its territory and sovereignty,” he wrote.
However, he also noted: “From experience, an enemy withdrawal presents many opportunities. Add to all this the low morale of the retreating force. It is never an inducement to the will of a Power to order a retrograde or withdrawal action. This move will further demoralize Russian forces and escalate fighting in Ukraine.”
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